Monday, October 22, 2012

INTEREST


In old Indian films we can see a scene, a poor brave guy would borrow money from a Jamindar, living in a village, unable to return the money. To clear the balance the Jamindar, would intend to acquire his tiny land being mortgaged. Finally the poor guy would protest against him conjointly with the help of others for justice, and marry his daughter itself.     

Similarly, in all common people’s minds a question may be arising several times during their lifetime like the present Cell phones.  

Who has invented Interest ? 
"Neither a borrower nor a lender be."
Everybody borrows and lends all the time.
#  Children put their pocket money into a bank account to save up to buy a bicycle.
#  Students take out loans to finance their studies.
#  Credit cards are widely used for short-term borrowing.
#  Young couples buy houses on mortgages of 20 to 30 years, and save for their retirement.
Understanding lending and borrowing means understanding compound interest. 

Early Loans And Interest Were Based On Agricultural Produce 

From about 30,000 BC human existence became more refined until social and economic forms of agriculture appeared around 10,000 to 7,500 BC. This took the form of hoe gardening done mainly by women and led to matriarchal based societies. 

From around 6,000 BC the horse was tamed and sheep, goats and cattle were domesticated so that by 5,000 there existed a mixed culture based on animal breeding and hoe gardening. The great plough revolution starting about 4,500 was complete by 4,000 BC. enabling the first city civilizations to arise, and the introduction of writing shortly after, led to a developing “social technology.” 

Loans in the pre-urban societies were made in seed grains, animals and tools to farmers. Since one grain of seed could generate a plant with over 100 new grain seeds, after the harvest farmers could easily repay the grain with “interest” in grain.Also since just so much seed grain could possibly be used, there were natural limits to this lending activity. 

When animals were loaned interest was paid by sharing in any new animals born.The Sumerians used the same word – mas – for both calves and interest. A similar Egyptian word meant to “give birth.” What was loaned had the power of generation, and interest was a sharing of the result. Interest on tool loans would be paid in the produce which the tools had helped to create. 

Value of Time Vs Money !

America’s trading center is New York City. The heart of New York is Manhattan which was bought for $24 in beads in 1626 by Europeans from the native people of Red Indians . Sounds like a ripoff, doesn't it? Manhattan must be worth more than $24, right?

Well, how much would that $24 be worth today, if it had been invested, rather than spent?
Let’s see, 1626 was 383 years ago. I don’t know what the various stock markets were returning at that time, but the average annual return during the 1900's in the United States was north of 10%. Let’s just call it 10%.

So, before you read on, formulate a guess in your head. How much would $24 grow to in 383 years, assuming a 10% annual return?

The image below is just a filler to help stop you from reading ahead — don’t move on until you have a guess.

The answer is $171 quadrillion, which is the same as $171,000 trillion. If you want to be more specific, the answer is $171,241,749,947,654,000 (this answer is probably not accurate as excel can’t really calculate accurately with that many digits). How big a trillion is, so imagine a number 171,000 times that size.

Obviously most people, except my friend Jaisankar who claims to be immortal, don’t have a 383 year investing horizon. But, this example shows how a little bit of money, over a long time frame, can add up to a lot of money. Maybe setting aside $50 a month for your kids’ education or your retirement is a good idea after all!

Nature of Interest !

Interest is a fee paid by a borrower or compensation to the lender, for 
a) risk of principal loss, called credit risk; and 
b) forgoing other investments that could have been made with the loaned asset, for the privilege of using borrowed money  or either assets to the owner as a form of compensation for the use of the assets. It is most commonly the price paid for the use of borrowed money, or money earned by deposited funds. If you borrow money, it comes at a cost. That cost is interest.

These forgone investments are known as the opportunity cost. Instead of the lender using the assets directly, they are advanced to the borrower. The borrower then enjoys the benefit of using the assets ahead of the effort required to pay for them, while the lender enjoys the benefit of the fee paid by the borrower for the privilege. In economics, interest is considered the price of credit.

When money is borrowed, interest is typically paid to the lender as a percentage of the principal, the amount owed to the lender. The percentage of the principal that is paid as a fee over a certain period of time (typically one month or year) is called the interest rate. 

Interest is often compounded, which means that interest is earned on prior interest in addition to the principal. The total amount of debt grows exponentially, most notably when compounded at infinitesimally small intervals, and its mathematical study led to the discovery of the number. However, in practice, interest is most often calculated on a daily, monthly, or yearly basis, and its impact is influenced greatly by its compounding rate.

A bank deposit will earn interest because the bank is paying for the use of the deposited funds. Assets that are sometimes lent with interest include money, shares, consumer goods through hire purchase, major assets such as aircraft, and even entire factories in finance lease arrangements. The interest is calculated upon the value of the assets in the same manner as upon money.

 When you take a loan out from a bank, or wherever, they will expect you to pay interest. This means that you pay back what you took out on a loan, plus extra money. So for example, if you took a loan out for $500, and let's say you have to pay it back with 15% interest, you would pay back $575.

“Banks are in the business of giving you access to money before you have obtained it. So, a student can borrow money to pay for an education even though they have not worked to obtain the means by which to pay for this education. The business of giving someone money now with the expectation that they will give it back to you at a later date involves enormous and various risks for the creditor. So they charge you an interest rate on this money. Money is a social construct that must be earned (in most cases though not all public purposes). If you have not earned it then you must essentially rent it. And for renting it, you pay a fee…. 

Until the 16th Century, Western Civilization prohibited the practice of charging interest on money on both moral and legal grounds.   In our modern monetary system, however, money is created by banks through loans issued with interest.   Though the full implications of the loans that create our money are seldom understood, their effects upon society are pervasive and powerful.  Three consequences of interest as a built-in feature of our monetary system are that 
(1) it encourages systematic competition among the participants in the system; 
(2) it continually fuels the need for endless economic growth; and 
(3) it concentrates wealth by transferring money from the vast majority to a small minority. 

According to legend, Albert Einstein once called compound interest the 8th Wonder of the World and the “most powerful invention in human history”. There is some debate about the veracity of this quote, but there remains some evidence to suggest the sentiment, if not the exact words.

Compound interest is the eighth wonder of the world. He who understands it, earns it … he who doesn't , pays it… Albert Einstein

Something else I didn't get taught anything about in school was something that the great Albert Einstein called ‘The eighth wonder of the world‘…

I think I’d have been much more excited about saving my pocket money if I’d been told how it could grow for me when compounded over time, and how, if I’d started saving just 10% of my income from the time I started working (as recommended in The Richest Man in Babylon – available free here) I’d quite likely be living an even more comfortable life now 

When some Old persons while talking to children in these days usually mention compound interest, and they often tell the story of  ‘a penny doubled‘. It’s an old one, but it always shocks the kids when they hear the end of the story, and how much the penny doubled grows when compounded over time.

Here it is in brief so you can tell it to your children and explain what can happen if they stop thinking about instant gratification and be patient for a while….

Ask them what they would prefer to receive… $1,000,000 today… or one penny today, and have that penny doubled every day for the next month. Most kids will opt for the $1,000,000 today…. but when you show them what will happen if they are prepared to wait, they will be amazed and hopefully it will help them to ‘get’ the power of compounding…

Day 1: $.01
Day 2: $.02
Day 3: $.04
Day 4: $.08
Day 5: $.16
Day 6: $.32
Day 7: $.64
Day 8: $1.28
Day 9: $2.56
Day 10: $5.12
Day 11: $10.24
Day 12: $20.48
Day 13: $40.96
Day 14: $81.92
Day 15: $163.84
Day 16: $327.68
Day 17: $655.36
Day 18: $1,310.72
Day 19: $2,621.44
Day 20: $5,242.88
Day 21: $10,485.76
Day 22: $20,971.52
Day 23: $41,943.04
Day 24: $83,886.08
Day 25: $167,772.16
Day 26: $335,544.32
Day 27: $671,088.64
Day 28: $1,342,177.28
Day 29: $2,684,354.56
Day 30: $5,368,709.12

Half way through the month those who chose the penny are still way behind on $163, but by the end of the month the power of compounding has taken over and they are way in front.  As with most things in life the 80/20 rule comes into play, in this case 80% of your money is earned in the last 20% of the time.

And you may even get luckier and have a 31 day month!
Albert Einstein called compound interest "the greatest invention of all time." It has even been referred to as the "Eighth Wonder of the World." The trick is to get this tremendous force working for you rather than against you.

Is compound interest gobbling up a significant chunk of your earnings? If you maintain an ongoing balance with a credit card company, compound interest is costing you much more than you probably realize.

Let's start with basic interest, which is a fee that you pay to a lender for the privilege of borrowing his money. This interest is attached to the original amount at an agreed upon rate. Compound interest is calculated on the balance owing plus any previous interest charges. So then you find yourself paying interest on the interest. This compounding effect continues until it virtually takes on a life of its own. Credit card lenders make a killing putting this principle to work for them. Allow me to illustrate.

Let's say you're carrying a balance of $1,000 on a credit card with a 15% APR. If you pay only the minimum each month, you could conceivably gnaw away at this debt for over 25 years and end up repaying a total of over $3,400! If, on the other hand, you could commit yourself to paying $100 per month, this debt would be wiped out in less than a single year and the interest would come to a much less offensive $75.

Now let's look at what would happen if you took $1,000 and put it to work for you instead of against you. Let's assume that you are able to keep your hands off this money and simply let it sit and earn 6% interest compounded annually. After 12 years, your money would have doubled without you adding one extra penny!

You can quickly figure out in your head how long it will take for a sum of money to double by applying the "Rule of 72." You simply take whatever interest rate you're earning (6% in this case) and divide it into 72. The result will be the number of years required to double your money. (72/6 = 12 in our example)

You can apply the rule backwards as well. Let's say you have a lump sum of $5,000 that you would like to grow into $10,000 in 8 years. You would need to find an investment that pays 9% compound interest. (72/8 = 9). If the best you can find is an 8% return on your money (hypothetically speaking,) then it would take you 9 years to double your money. Not bad for just letting it sit there! 

Now let's assume that you want to help the growth rate along, so you add an extra hundred dollars to this account just once a year. At the end of the 12 years, you would now have $3,800. If you could discipline yourself enough to add $200 a year, then you would find yourself with almost $5600. 

Seeing your money grow like this might well entice you to invest more money each month and really reap the benefits of this wealth-generating principle. And there's more good news. These examples demonstrate what happens when your investment compounds annually. Some institutions are more generous, compounding your interest quarterly, monthly or even daily.

It's pretty clear which end of the compound interest principle you want to be on. The first step toward the winners' circle is to pay off your existing debts. Even if you're already having trouble making ends meet, a mere $1 addition to a minimum payment can significantly shorten the life of that loan. That's right, just one dollar. You won't miss it and it would be well worth it. 

Remember the compounding effect. And once you're out of debt, there's no minimum for earning compound interest. Any sum that you can set aside will do. You don't need to be Donald Trump or Bill Gates in order to benefit from compound interest. It can work wonders for us all. 

When you have a sum of money, many people are tempted to simply stick it under the mattress or put it in their piggy banks until they need it. While this is a natural inclination, you may be missing out on a lot of money that you could have in the future. With the power of compound interest, you’ll be able to grow your savings substantially. 

Why is interest so important?

When you have a sum of money and you can decide what to do with it, there are plenty of different types of accounts that you could open. You could put your money into a regular savings account, checking account, a mutual fund or into an investment account. With a mutual fund or investment account, there is some risk associated with your money.

For example, you could put your money into a traditional mutual fund, an exchange-traded fund, or even into a regular stock. All of these investments can earn substantial returns, but they can also cause you to lose money. Putting money into any of these types of investments is a gamble and there’s no way for anyone to know what could happen with them.

You could lose everything with this type of account. With a regular savings or checking account, you may not earn any interest to speak of. With a high-interest savings account, you get the higher returns without having to take on the risk that comes with putting money into the investment markets.

Instead of just sitting on your money, consider shopping around and take the time to find an account that actually will give you what you need. You’ll be pleasantly surprised when you check your account balance

Similarly, you can make investments that pay interest. Your reward for making the investment is the interest you’ll earn.

Sunday, October 14, 2012

INFLATION

Usually some of us lament that during the child hood days of our father for Rs.1/- we can buy Vegetables required for 1 Week. But now we can buy for that same one rupee not even sufficient for a Sambar ( A liquid gravy used to mix with rice for noon lunch ) once a day. Moreover below Rs.5/- it is almost impossible to purchase anything nowadays. 

From the above wordings we can truly realize that the Price hike of all materials would be rising even if we like or Dislike. This price hike is termed by “Inflation” by Experts Worldwide. 

In all countries it is denoted in Percentage. If the Inflation is 10% then a material which costs Rs.100/- last year, now to purchase the same material Rs.110/- is required. Many people used to say due to the Inflation hike, Prices had gone up. Actually it is not like that. In turn the price hike had increased the Inflation. Several Essential products price index no: is taken into account and compared with the same period of the previous year and calculated for respective week. 

It is called the “Base Period” when the inflation was first formulated. In India for calculating inflation “Whole Sale Price Index – WPI, method is followed. Common public using 435 products are taken into account .These products are called as “Basket of Goods”.

Each product has an Weightage. This weightage, with price hike is being taken into account and WPI calculated. The percentage change is called Inflation.

But in several countries instead of Wholesale price Index they are taking the final cost of price reaching the customer called as “Consumer Price Index”. Even India is trying to change to this.

Inflation rate how affects a particular country and its people must be known to us. Why Essential products and Grandeur products price hike is happening can be researched for understandable. While the cash flow being more, requirement with low (supply ) availability will be present. Since our requirement is more, the production is compared less, to the required quantity, the price hike is happening. Since the materials such as

1. Rice 

2. Grams 
3. Petrol 
4. Dress materials 
5. Food items 
6. Railways 
7. Bus transports 
8. Cigarettes 
9. Liquors 
10. Air travels 
11. Real Estates….etc. 

For all the above items people are found crowded everywhere. From the above cash flow can be meant as fair.
Looking for a good way to explain inflation so that even a child could understand it? 

Inflation has been called “The Silent Tax” or stealth tax. Often inflation is explained as something that is just a part of economics and should be accepted. However when you truly understand what it is and what it means you begin to see that it is simply a tool used to enrich those in power of the money supply and tax your money without having a tax.

Here is a quick and easy way to understand how to explain inflation. Often we throw the term inflation around when referring to how much more expensive things are when actually it would be more accurate to say that your money, or even more accurately, your currency is worth less.

When trying to explain inflation to young people you may find it more entertaining to provide visual aides. For this you will need a quarter ($.25) from 1964 or before and a quarter from after 1964.

Now if you had this older quarter in your hand in 1964 you could use it to buy about a gallon of gasoline, because gasoline sold for about 25 cents a gallon give or take a couple of cents. Also if you kept that quarter until today you could sell it for enough money to buy about a gallon of gasoline because the silver in the quarter is worth about the same as a gallon of gasoline today.

This is because the quarter from 1964 and before had at least a 90% silver content. The value of that silver has stayed about the same as in 1964, meaning you could buy about the same stuff with it. However the quarter from after 1964 will not buy as much because its value is not based on its metal content and the supply of them keeps going up.

You should have noticed that the newer quarter has a copper toned ring around the sides. This is because the newer quarter is made of various metals which when melted down would not be worth very much. But since it has been stamped into a quarter we can use it as currency to buy things we want or need that have a price tag of 25 cents or less.

So when the government prints more and more dollars it makes the dollars in your pocket worth less. And since the dollars do not have to be made of anything valuable then they can print more when they need it and after it starts to circulate it makes your dollars worth less, because the more of something there is the less valuable it is right?

Sunday, August 5, 2012

Links to World Stock Exchanges

SELECT CONTINENT:
AFRICA
ASIA
EUROPE
MIDDLE EAST
NORTH AMERICA
SOUTHAMERICA

Stock Exchanges Worldwide Links is a list of world's major stock exchanges and other exchange resources. The number of stock exchanges in the world is growing rapidly, so we maynot be able to track all of their pages.

African Stock Exchanges

GhanaStock Exchange, Ghana 
The South African Futures Exchange(SAFEX), South Africa

Asian Stock Exchanges

Australian Stock Exchanges, Australia
Bombay Stock Exchange, India
Colombo Stock Exchange, Sri Lanka
Hong Kong Futures Exchange,Hong Kong
Indonesia NET Exchange,Indonesia
Jakarta Stock Exchange, Indonesia
Karachi Stock Exchange, Pakistan
Korea Stock Exchange, Korea
Kuala Lumpur Stock Exchange, Malaysia
Lahore Stock Exchange, Pakistan
Nagoya Stock Exchange,Japan
National Stock Exchange of India,India
New Zealand Stock Exchange, New Zealand
Osaka Securities Exchange, Japan
Shenzhen Stock Exchange, China
Singapore International Monetary Exchange Ltd. (SIMEX),Singapore
Sri Lanka Stock Closings, Sri Lanka
Stock Exchange of Hong Kong,Hong Kong
Stock Exchange of Singapore (SES), Singapore
Sydney Futures Exchange, Australia
Taiwan Stock Exchange, Taiwan
The Stock Exchange of Thailand, Thailand
Tokyo Grain Exchange, Japan
Tokyo International Financial Futures Exchange (TIFFE), Japan
Tokyo Stock Exchange, Japan


European Stock Exchanges

Amsterdam Stock Exchange, The Netherlands
Athens Stock Exchange, Greece
Barcelona Stock Exchange, Spain
Bucharest Stock Exchange, Romania
Budapest Stock Exchange, Hungary
Copenhagen Stock Exchange, Denmark
EASDAQ, Belgium
Electronic Share Information, UnitedKingdom
Frankfurt Stock Exchange, Germany
FTSE International (London Stock Exchange), United Kingdom
Helsinki Stock Exchange, Finland
Istanbul Stock Exhange, Turkey
Italian Stock Exchange, Italy
LesEchos: 30-minute delayed prices, France
Lisbon Stock Exchange, Portugal
Ljubljana Stock Exchange,Inc., Slovenia
London InternationalFinancial Futures and Options Exchange,United Kingdom
London Metal Exchange,United Kingdom
London Stock Exchange: Daily Price Summary, United Kingdom
Macedonian Stock Exchange, Macedonia
Madrid Stock Exchange, Spain
MATIF, France
MEFF: (Spanish Financial Futures & Options Exchange), Spain
National Stock Exchange of Lithuania,Lithuania
NouveauMarche, France
Oslo Stock Exchange, Norway
Paris Stock Exchange, France
Prague Stock Exchange, Czech Republic
Russian Securities Market News, Russia
Stockholm Stock Exchange, Sweden
Swiss Exchange, Switzerland
Vienna Stock Exchange, Austria
Warsaw Stock-Exchange, Poland
Zagreb Stock Exchange, Croatia


Middle Eastern Stock Exchanges

Amman Financial Market, Jordan
Beirut Stock Exchange, Lebanon
Istanbul Stock Exhange, Turkey
Palestine Securities Exchange, Palestine
Tel Aviv Stock Exchange, Israel


South American Stock Exchanges

SENSEX



“ On today’s Share Trading better improvement seemed. Mumbai Stock Exchange Index  
( SENSEX) raised 146.08 points and ended in 16,575 ; In between Trading swinged to a maximum of 17,322, and a lowest to 16,552. Like that National Stock Exchange (NIFTY) raised 60 points and ended in 5250.30 ” Similar news can be heard or read in Television news or in Newspapers. 

How it rises and lowers ? Similar to the price hike/ lower of Tomato, Onion ! If the price of stocks traded in stock market rises Market Rises. If it lowers market also lowers. This Up/Down is indicated by some indices in the stock market.

If those indices were continuously rising the Market is in Bull phase, if lowering were in Bear phase. Indexes predicts the Markets Trend, and the past Traveled path. Due to varied Social, Political, Physical, changes in different periods how the level had taken risen / lowered can be researched and broaden their mind (any individual) even may also be Utilized to their best.

For example, In 1929, The greatest financial crisis ( known as “ The Great Depression” ) in America, In 1990, the problems faced by Japan which led to the changes in their Stock exchanges, In 2008, January – 22 , the sudden downfall of the Indian Stock Market etc.., From all the above examples mistakes committed by forefathers, known studies, attained results, everything can be felt by Index.

In the midst of May – 2003, the Sensex being at 3,000 points had a Steep rise as 12,000 points in the midst of same May – 2006. History never felt such an Unsurprising Tremendous growth. More than 300 percent growth in three years. 110 Years Traditional America’s Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA – 1) has been beaten by our Stock Exchange. Not mere Chase. DJIA has taken 103 years to cross 10,000 points. But our SENSEX has taken only 20 years.

Sensex after crossing 12,500 points in some days a never before Historical Downfall happened. Large number of small investors lost nearly 40 – 60 % of their Investment. In 2006, May – 22, Trading commencing within an hour, sensex lost 1,111 points, in continuation both the stock exchanges were closed temporarily for an hour.

Upto the midst of 1980 with no Index, and only based upon the stock prices trading continued. Based on the stock prices the Overall market is either going Up or Falling down can’t be identified, a great difficulty was felt by many people. This urged a Question, why it can’t be converted as an Index? Those are scientifically calculated and invented. The Worlds Largest Organization “ BLOOMBERG ” creates and maintains Indexes.

SENSEX, first compiled in 1986, was calculated on a 'Market Capitalization-Weighted' methodology of 30 component stocks representing Large, well-established and financially sound companies across key sectors.

The base year of SENSEX was taken as 1978-79. SENSEX today is widely reported in both domestic and international markets through print as well as electronic media. It is scientifically designed and is based on globally accepted construction and review methodology.

Since September 1, 2003, SENSEX is being calculated on a free-float market capitalization methodology. The 'free-float market capitalization-weighted' methodology is a widely followed index construction methodology on which majority of global equity indices are based; all major index providers like MSCI, FTSE, STOXX, S&P and Dow Jones use the free-float methodology.

The growth of the equity market in India has been phenomenal in the present decade. Right from early nineties, the stock market witnessed heightened activity in terms of various bull and bear runs. In the late nineties, the Indian market witnessed a huge frenzy in the 'TMT' sectors. More recently, real estate caught the fancy of the investors.

SENSEX has captured all these happenings in the most judicious manner. One can identify the booms and busts of the Indian equity market through SENSEX. As the oldest index in the country, it provides the time series data over a fairly long period of time (from 1979 onwards). Small wonder, the SENSEX has become one of the most prominent brands in the country.

In 1986,January – 2, with 549 points as Index number BSE started its journey. Even though designed in 1986 its base started at 100 points in 1979. Those two numbers (100, 549 ) can be discussed in detail.

Basic 100 points designated in a certain period is alone not important. How they were designed is also important ! Let us take 10 imaginary companies to explain its importance,
Year - 1
Company
Total no: of Shares
Share Price
Market Value
1
100
100
10,000
2
100
20
2,000
3
100
25
2,500
4
100
15
1,500
5
100
70
7,000
6
100
40
4,000
7
100
80
8,000
8
100
65
6,500
9
100
45
4,500
10
100
35
3,500
Total
49,500

Above tabulated 10 Companies shows its Market Capitalization as 49,500. It can also be Determined as Index number 100. After 5 years the same companies with stock price and market value can be assumed as follows,
Year – 5
Company
Total no: of Shares
Share Price
Market Value
1
100
125
12,500
2
100
25
2,500
3
100
29
2,900
4
100
19
1,900
5
100
78
7,800
6
100
45
4,500
7
100
84
8,400
8
100
70
7,000
9
100
50
5,000
10
100
42
4,200
 Total
56,700

The Total market Capitalization is 56,700. Then what may have been happened to the Index. Let us see, 

Market value 49,500 index = 100
Market value 56,700 index = ( 100 / 49500 ) x 56,700 = 114.54
In 5 years index has rised from 100 to 114.54. Simply saying Rs.100 invested in those 10 companies may have rised to Rs. 114.54.

In 1979 considering 100 points as a base, in 1986 how 549 points was designed can be understood from the following example. We have taken 10 companies as an example. But actually in BSE SENSEX, 30 companies Stocks are participating is the only difference.

How those 30 Companies are selected for involvement in the Stock Market ? 

# Frequent Movements
# Average trading in a Day
# Large market capitalization are considered as important. Moreover
# Honest Administration,
# Investors complaints cleared were also considered.

Various sectored Organizations are given importance and added.

Now a doubt may arise here ! Those 30 companies formed in 1986 are still continuing. Not certainly. A better performing Organization named “A” say Rs. 3,000 market value may be included, by removing Company – 4 of market value 1,900 to maintain the Existing Index value to cope up for a Rapid Growth.

Year – 5
Company
Total no: of Shares
Share Price
Market Value
1
100
125
12,500
2
100
25
2,500
3
100
29
2,900
4
100
30
3,000
5
100
78
7,800
6
100
45
4,500
7
100
84
8,400
8
100
70
7,000
9
100
50
5,000
10
100
42
4,200
 Total
57,800
   
Instead of Company – 4 , entering of “A” the 10 companies market value changes to 57,800. But the index must be balanced as 114.54. Hereafter while calculating index the year 5 market value 57,800 with 114.54 as its Base value, and further calculated for the forthcoming years. 

Year – 9
Company
Total no: of Shares
Share Price
Market Value
1
100
155
15,500
2
100
35
3,500
3
100
39
3,900
4
100
40
4,000
5
100
88
8,800
6
100
55
5,500
7
100
94
9,400
8
100
78
7,800
9
100
57
5,700
10
100
49
4,900
 Total
69,000

Market value 57,800 index = 114.54 
Market value 69,000 index = ( 114.54 / 57800 ) x 69,000 = 136.73

Here a doubt may arise ! For the above calculated 9 years all those stock prices may be rising. Definitely no. Some may rise or few may continuously get lowering all are possible in stock market.

SENSEX CALCUATION :-

SENSEX is calculated using the 'Free-float Market Capitalization' methodology, wherein, the level of index at any point of time reflects the free-float market value of 30 component stocks relative to a base period. The market capitalization of a company is determined by multiplying the price of its stock by the number of shares issued by the company. This market capitalization is further multiplied by the free-float factor to determine the free-float market capitalization.

The base period of SENSEX is 1978-79 and the base value is 100 index points. This is often indicated by the notation 1978-79=100. The calculation of SENSEX involves dividing the free-float market capitalization of 30 companies in the Index by a number called the Index Divisor. The Divisor is the only link to the original base period value of the SENSEX. It keeps the Index comparable over time and is the adjustment point for all Index adjustments arising out of corporate actions, replacement of scrips etc. During market hours, prices of the index scrips, at which latest trades are executed, are used by the trading system to calculate SENSEX on a continuous basis.

STOCKS SELECTION CRITERIA :-

The general guidelines for selection of constituents in SENSEX are as follows:

Equities of companies listed on Bombay Stock Exchange Ltd. (excluding companies classified in Z group, listed mutual funds, scrips suspended on the last day of the month prior to review date, scrips objected by the Surveillance department of the Exchange and those that are traded under permitted category) shall be considered eligible.

Listing History: The scrip should have a listing history of at least three months at BSE. An exception may be granted to one month, if the average free-float market capitalization of a newly listed company ranks in the top 10 of all companies listed at BSE. In the event that a company is listed on account of a merger / demerger / amalgamation, a minimum listing history is not required.

The scrip should have been traded on each and every trading day in the last three months at BSE. Exceptions can be made for extreme reasons like scrip suspension etc.
Companies that have reported revenue in the latest four quarters from its core activity are considered eligible.

From the list of constituents selected through Steps 1-4, the top 75 companies based on free-float market capitalisation (avg. 3 months) are selected as well as any additional companies that are in the top 75 based on full market capitalization (avg. 3 months).

The filtered list of constituents selected through Step 5 (which can be greater than 75 companies) is then ranked on absolute turnover (avg. 3 months).

Any company in the filtered, sorted list created in Step 6 that has Cumulative Turnover of & > 98%, are excluded, so long as the remaining list has more than 30 scrips. 

The filtered list calculated in Step 7 is then sorted by free float market capitalization. Any company having a weight within this filtered constituent list of <0 .50=".50" be="be" excluded.="excluded." font="font" shall="shall">

All remaining companies will be sorted on sector and sub-sorted in the descending order of rank on free-float market capitalization.

Industry/Sector Representation: Scrip selection will generally attempt to maintain index sectoral weights that are broadly in-line with the overall market.

Track Record: In the opinion of the BSE Index Committee, all companies included within the SENSEX should have an acceptable track record.

FREE FLOAT METHODOLOGY :-

Free-float methodology refers to an index construction methodology that takes into consideration only the free-float market capitalization of a company for the purpose of index calculation and assigning weight to stocks in the index. Free-float market capitalization takes into consideration only those shares issued by the company that are readily available for trading in the market. It generally excludes promoters' holding, government holding, strategic holding and other locked-in shares that will not come to the market for trading in the normal course. In other words, the market capitalization of each company in a free-float index is reduced to the extent of its readily available shares in the market.

Subsequently all BSE indices with the exception of BSE-PSU index have adopted the free-float methodology.

DEFINITION OF FREE FLOAT :-

Shareholding of investors that would not, in the normal course come into the open market for trading are treated as 'Controlling/ Strategic Holdings' and hence not included in free-float. Specifically, the following categories of holding are generally excluded from the definition of Free-float:
· Shares held by founders/directors/ acquirers which has control element
· Shares held by persons/ bodies with 'Controlling Interest'
· Shares held by Government as promoter/acquirer
· Holdings through the FDI Route
· Strategic stakes by private corporate bodies/ individuals
· Equity held by associate/group companies (cross-holdings)
· Equity held by Employee Welfare Trusts
· Locked-in shares and shares which would not be sold in the open market in normal course.

After designing of Sensex in 1986, the participation of Organizations are,

Names of the Companies Inclusion for INDEX in 1986
Sl.No
Name of the company stock
1
A.C.C
2
Reliance Industries
3
Indian Tobacco Company (I.T.C )
4
Hindusthan Lever ( HLL )
5
Tata Motors ( Telco )
6
Tata Steel ( Tisco )
7
Hindalco
8
Grasim Industries
9
Larsen & Toubro ( L&T )
10
Tata Power
11
Bombay Pharma
12
Asian Cables
13
Crompton Greaves
14
Scindia
15
Zenith Ltd
16
Ballarpur Industries
17
Bombay Dyeing
18
Ceat Tyres
19
Century Textiles
20
G.S.F.C.
21
Hindusthan Motors
22
Indian Organic
23
Indian Rayon
24
Kirloskar Cummins
25
Mukund Iron
26
Siemens
27
Indian Hotels
28
Mahindra & Mahindra (M & M)
29
Glaxo Smithklime
30
Nestle India

At Present Inclusion for INDEX in 17.02.2012

Here free float Adjustment factor is said as stocks belonging to the Entire promoters which are not taken for our calculation and subtracting those stocks from the Total no: of Shares.

Weight of Stocks = free float market Capitalization of a stock Combined Free float Market of all the 30 (or) 50 stocks.

From the above tabular columns we have seen how the Index number has been calculated, Involvement of the names of companies, market value with the datas. Let us see the milestones of journey taken by the index number upto till date.

1000, July 25, 1990
On July 25, 1990, the Sensex touched the magical four-digit figure for the first time and closed at 1,001 in the wake of a good monsoon and excellent corporate results.

2000, January 15, 1992
On January 15, 1992, the Sensex crossed the 2,000-mark and closed at 2,020 followed by the liberal economic policy initiatives undertaken by the then finance minister and current Prime Minister Dr Manmohan Singh

3000, February 29, 1992
On February 29, 1992, the Sensex surged past the 3000 mark in the wake of the market-friendly Budget announced by the then Finance Minister, Dr Manmohan Singh.

4000, March 30, 1992
On March 30, 1992, the Sensex crossed the 4,000-mark and closed at 4,091 on the expectations of a liberal export-import policy. It was then that the Harshad Mehta scam hit the markets and Sensex witnessed unabated selling.

5000, October 8, 1999
On October 8, 1999, the Sensex crossed the 5,000-mark as the BJP-led coalition won the majority in the 13th Lok Sabha election.

6000, February 11, 2000
On February 11, 2000, the infotech boom helped the Sensex to cross the 6,000-mark and hit and all time high of 6,006.

7000, June 20, 2005
On June 20, 2005, the news of the settlement between the Ambani brothers boosted investor sentiments and the scrips of Reliance Energy Reliance Capital and IPCL made huge gains. This helped the Sensex crossed 7,000 points for the first time.

8000, September 8, 2005
On September 8, 2005, the Bombay Stock Exchange's benchmark 30-share index -- the Sensex -- crossed the 8000 level following brisk buying by foreign and domestic funds in early trading.

9000, November 28, 2005
The Sensex on November 28, 2005 crossed the magical figure of 9000 to touch 9000.32 points during mid-session at the Bombay Stock Exchange on the back of frantic buying spree by foreign institutional investors and well supported by local operators as well as retail investors.

10,000, February 6, 2006
The Sensex on February 6, 2006 touched 10,003 points during mid-session. The Sensex finally closed above the 10K-mark on February 7, 2006.

11,000, March 21, 2006
The Sensex on March 21, 2006 crossed the magical figure of 11,000 and touched a life-time peak of 11,001 points during mid-session at the Bombay Stock Exchange for the first time. However, it was on March 27, 2006 that the Sensex first closed at over 11,000 points.

12,000, April 20, 2006
The Sensex on April 20, 2006 crossed the 12,000-mark and closed at a peak of 12,040 points for the first time.

13,000, October 30, 2006
The Sensex on October 30, 2006 crossed the magical figure of 13,000 and closed at 13,024.26 points, up 117.45 points or 0.9%. It took 135 days for the Sensex to move from 12,000 to 13,000 and 123 days to move from 12,500 to 13,000.

14,000, December 5, 2006
The Sensex on December 5, 2006 crossed the 14,000-mark to touch 14,028 points. It took 36 days for the Sensex to move from 13,000 to the 14,000 mark.

15,000, July 6, 2007
The Sensex on July 6, 2007 crossed the magical figure of 15,000 to touch 15,005 points in afternoon trade. It took seven months for the Sensex to move from 14,000 to 15,000 points.

16,000, September 19, 2007
The Sensex scaled yet another milestone during early morning trade on September 19, 2007. Within minutes after trading began, the Sensex crossed 16,000, rising by 450 points from the previous close. The 30-share Bombay Stock Exchange's sensitive index took 53 days to reach 16,000 from 15,000. Nifty also touched a new high at 4659, up 113 points.

The Sensex finally ended with its biggest-ever single day gain of 654 points at 16,323. The NSE Nifty gained 186 points to close at 4,732.

17,000, September 26, 2007
The Sensex scaled yet another height during early morning trade on September 26, 2007. Within minutes after trading began, the Sensex crossed the 17,000-mark . Some profit taking towards the end, saw the index slip into red to 16,887 - down 187 points from the day's high. The Sensex ended with a gain of 22 points at 16,921.

18,000, October 09, 2007
The BSE Sensex crossed the 18,000-mark on October 09, 2007. It took just 8 days to cross 18,000 points from the 17,000 mark. The index zoomed to a new all-time intra-day high of 18,327. It finally gained 789 points to close at an all-time high of 18,280. The market set several new records including the biggest single day gain of 789 points at close, as well as the largest intra-day gains of 993 points in absolute term backed by frenzied buying after the news of the UPA and Left meeting on October 22 put an end to the worries of an impending election.

19,000, October 15, 2007
The Sensex crossed the 19,000-mark backed by revival of funds-based buying in blue chip stocks in metal, capital goods and refinery sectors. The index gained the last 1,000 points in just four trading days. The index touched a fresh all-time intra-day high of 19,096, and finally ended with a smart gain of 640 points at 19,059.The Nifty gained 242 points to close at 5,670.

20,000, December 11, 2007
The Sensex actually crossed the 20,000-mark on October 29, 2007 during intra-day trading but closed at 19,977.67 points. However, it was on December 11, 2007 that it finally closed at a figure above 20,000 points on the back of aggressive buying by funds. The 30-share index spurted 360.21 points to fly-past the crucial level and closed at 20,290.89. The NSE Nifty closed at a record high of 6,097.25 points, up 136.65.

21,000, January 8, 2008
The Sensex crossed the 21,000-mark in intra-day trade on January 8, 2008, bringing cheer to the markets at the very beginning of the New Year.

Scaling a new peak, the Sensex spurted 264.88 points to touch 21,077.53 points in the first five minutes of trade.

Similarly, the wide-base National Stock Exchange's Nifty also hit 6327.65 points, up 48.55 points, as most of the index related shares traded higher.

During the years 1992 ,2005, 2006 we can see the Tremendous changes in the market either Up / Downfall which can be termed as abnormal. But in latest times we can reasonably say that due to the following factors:-

Splendid Performance of the Organizations 

Seasonal rains
Lowest interest rate
World Economic growth
Based on the above reasons the growth of index seemed to be prudent. 

About Index:-

‡ For around 15 seconds “SENSEX” is being calculated.

‡ Ups and Downs in the Market are reflected in the Index.

‡ If a rapid rise is seemed, sudden downfall may also be waiting.

‡ Likewise after a long term Downfall a pleasant growth can also be expected.

‡ Taking a particular Trend and period can never be expected Always.

‡ Stock market may Rise / Lower. If purchased while lowering ( Bear phase) stock market may show no sympathy.

‡ Apart from short term investment long term investment may definitely Gift to whom invested.

‡ While calculating SENSEX the concerned Organizations total number of stocks are not involved ( Total market capitalization )

‡ Floating ( Free – Float market capitalization )stocks market value is taken into account.

‡ The stocks pertaining to Promoters, Directors, Administrators, say nearly 75 % may hold no Transactions probably. Except those 75 % balance 25 % are called Floating stocks, which are considered, for calculation.

‡ Bombay Stock Exchange Sensitive index (BSE) short form is called “SENSEX” an inclusion of 30 Organizations.

‡ National stock Exchange (NSE) National Index Fifty short form is called “NIFTY” an inclusion of 50 Organizations.

‡ Sensex closing value is not the calculation of the Last minute closing value. Instead the last half-an-hours, total Average value is calculated as Sensex.

MAJOR ADVANTAGES OF FREE FLOAT METHODOLOGY :-

· A Free-float index reflects the market trends more rationally as it takes into consideration only those shares that are available for trading in the market.

· Free-float Methodology makes the index more broad-based by reducing the concentration of top few companies in Index.

· A Free-float index aids both active and passive investing styles. It aids active managers by enabling them to benchmark their fund returns vis-� -vis an investible index. This enables an apple-to-apple comparison thereby facilitating better evaluation of performance of active managers. Being a perfectly replicable portfolio of stocks, a Free-float adjusted index is best suited for the passive managers as it enables them to track the index with the least tracking error.

· Free-float Methodology improves index flexibility in terms of including any stock from the universe of listed stocks. This improves market coverage and sector coverage of the index. For example, under a Full-market capitalization methodology, companies with large market capitalization and low free-float cannot generally be included in the Index because they tend to distort the index by having an undue influence on the index movement. However, under the Free-float Methodology, since only the free-float market capitalization of each company is considered for index calculation, it becomes possible to include such closely-held companies in the index while at the same time preventing their undue influence on the index movement.

· Globally, the Free-float Methodology of index construction is considered to be an industry best practice and all major index providers like MSCI, FTSE, S&P and STOXX have adopted the same. MSCI, a leading global index provider, shifted all its indices to the Free-float Methodology in 2002. The MSCI India Standard Index, which is followed by Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) to track Indian equities, is also based on the Free-float Methodology. NASDAQ-100, the underlying index to the famous Exchange Traded Fund (ETF) - QQQ is based on the Free-float Methodology.